Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Tigres had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Tigres win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
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