Neither side are in their best moment heading into this fixture. The hosts have won just twice in their last five league matches while the visitors have drawn the last three. Furthermore, the last three meetings between these sides have ended in a stalemate.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
0.87) 
-1.14) 
