SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 0-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Chelsea |
21.06% ( 0.57) | 21.1% ( 0.24) | 57.83% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 59.83% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.21% ( -0.37) | 37.79% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.96% ( -0.4) | 60.03% ( 0.39) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( 0.32) | 31.31% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.33% ( 0.37) | 67.67% ( -0.38) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.1% ( -0.36) | 12.89% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.69% ( -0.73) | 39.3% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 21.06% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.08)0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.72% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 2% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.83% Total : 57.83% |
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