SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Everton |
36.85% ( -1.24) | 25.9% ( 0.13) | 37.25% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( -0.57) | 49.71% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( -0.51) | 71.72% ( 0.51) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( -0.95) | 26.22% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.68% ( -1.3) | 61.32% ( 1.29) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( 0.36) | 26% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% ( 0.48) | 61.02% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.85% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.25% |
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