Despite Everton having built some momentum on Thursday, we cannot ignore that fatigue and squad rotation will likely play a part here. With that in mind, we feel that Palace could enjoy a relatively comfortable afternoon, possibly progressing with a clean sheet in the process.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Everton had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
