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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Luton Town |
52.05% ( -0.04) | 24.01% ( -0) | 23.94% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.82% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% ( 0.05) | 47.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.25% ( 0.05) | 69.75% ( -0.05) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( 0) | 18.25% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.71% ( 0.01) | 49.29% ( -0) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% ( 0.06) | 34.17% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.14% ( 0.07) | 70.86% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.49% 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 23.94% |
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