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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
VEB Arena

CSKA
5 - 1
Orenburg

Musaev (23'), Diveyev (30', 59'), Oblyakov (39'), Khellven (71')
Moises (26'), Koita (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rybchinsky (31')
Sidorov (25'), Basic (89')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between CSKA Moscow and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 CSKA
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 0-0 Akhmat Grozny
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
CSKA MoscowDrawOrenburg
60.12% (-0.13 -0.13) 21.79% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 18.09% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.27% (0.196 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67% (0.145 0.15)45.33% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (0.139 0.14)67.67% (-0.136 -0.14)
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)14.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (0.012999999999998 0.01)42.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (0.225 0.23)38.76% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.51% (0.212 0.21)75.49% (-0.209 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    CSKA Moscow 60.11%
    Orenburg 18.09%
    Draw 21.78%
CSKA MoscowDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 10.9% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.47% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 60.11%
1-1 @ 10.33%
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 5.38%
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.09%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 CSKA
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 0-0 CSKA
Saturday, July 20 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 2-0 Ural
Saturday, May 25 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-6 CSKA
Monday, May 20 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 0-1 CSKA
Saturday, May 11 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 2-2 Rubin Kazan
Monday, May 6 at 6.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 0-0 Akhmat Grozny
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 2-0 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, July 21 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 0-0 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, May 25 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 3-3 Orenburg
Sunday, May 19 at 10am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 0-2 Lokomotiv
Sunday, May 12 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 2-1 Krylia Sovetov
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Russian Premier League


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