SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
33.46% ( -0.05) | 25.09% ( 0.01) | 41.44% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.41% ( -0.05) | 46.59% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.14% ( -0.05) | 68.86% ( 0.05) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( -0.05) | 26.73% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38% ( -0.07) | 62% ( 0.07) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% | 22.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.08% ( 0) | 55.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.44% |
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