SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
53.72% ( 0.06) | 22.59% ( 0.03) | 23.69% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.27% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% ( -0.25) | 41.5% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.1% ( -0.25) | 63.9% ( 0.25) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.56% ( -0.06) | 15.44% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.71% ( -0.12) | 44.28% ( 0.12) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( -0.21) | 31.08% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.59% ( -0.25) | 67.4% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.81% Total : 53.72% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.69% |
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