While Botafogo are enjoying an impressive season, Cuiaba have proven to be a difficult team to beat in recent weeks, particularly at home where they are looking to extend their unbeaten run to five in a row.
This should be a close encounter and we feel it will end level at the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.09) 
