Goals for and against have been at a premium in recent games involving Cuiaba, and Saturday's match could follow the same pattern. If Petit's men avoid another late concession — they let in an 86th-minute equaliser at Corinthians last time out — Dourado should nick maximum points in Saturday's gameweek 13 clash.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
-0.06) 
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