Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.08) 
