SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Cuiaba |
61.25% ( -0.02) | 22.06% ( -0.06) | 16.69% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.66% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( 0.38) | 48.74% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( 0.34) | 70.84% ( -0.34) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.57% ( 0.12) | 15.42% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.74% ( 0.23) | 44.26% ( -0.22) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( 0.33) | 42.47% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.16% ( 0.28) | 78.84% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bragantino | Draw | Cuiaba |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 61.24% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.05% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.71% Total : 16.69% |
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