Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
