Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	Cruzeiro
37.36% ( -0.04)	28.84% ( 0.1)	33.79% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 45.23% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.66% (

-0.34)

61.34% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.75% (

-0.25)

81.25% (

0.25)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.43% (

-0.19)

31.56% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.03% (

-0.22)

67.96% (

0.22)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09% (

-0.22)

33.9% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.42% (

-0.24)

70.58% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 37.37%

Cruzeiro 33.79%

Draw 28.83%

Cuiaba	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.37%	1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.83%	0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.79%