SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cuiaba | Draw | Lanus |
52.6% ( 1.02) | 26.15% ( -0.5) | 21.26% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.75% ( 1.23) | 58.25% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.12% ( 0.96) | 78.88% ( -0.96) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( 0.97) | 22.27% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.28% ( 1.43) | 55.72% ( -1.43) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.23% ( 0.17) | 42.77% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.9% ( 0.15) | 79.1% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cuiaba | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.3% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.8% Total : 52.59% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.05% Total : 21.26% |
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