Cyprus will be considered as major underdogs heading into Thursday's contest and will likely struggle to cope with a Norway side that have scored in 14 of their last 16 international since the start of 2022.
Norway can ill-afford to drop points if they wish to keep their hopes of securing a top-two spot in Group A alive, but we feel that the visitors will have few problems claiming a comfortable victory in Larnaca.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.58%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
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