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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
41.92% ( 0.2) | 25.97% ( 0.05) | 32.12% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.24% ( -0.27) | 50.76% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% ( -0.24) | 72.66% ( 0.24) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( -0.02) | 24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.75% ( -0.03) | 58.25% ( 0.03) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.3) | 29.64% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( -0.37) | 65.68% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.12% |
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