SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
45.49% ( -0.08) | 24.8% ( -0.01) | 29.71% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% ( 0.13) | 46.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.02% ( 0.11) | 68.98% ( -0.11) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( 0.02) | 20.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.86% ( 0.02) | 53.14% ( -0.02) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.13) | 29.24% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( 0.16) | 65.19% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.71% |
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