Given Dallas' impressive home record and Houston's woeful record on the road, it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a win for the hosts. We are tipping the home team to claim all three points in a relatively comfortable manner.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
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