SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dallas.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
42.04% ( 0.44) | 26.33% ( 0.14) | 31.62% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% ( -0.73) | 52.42% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -0.63) | 74.1% ( 0.63) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( -0.1) | 24.67% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.79% ( -0.15) | 59.2% ( 0.15) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( -0.75) | 30.8% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.92% ( -0.9) | 67.08% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.03% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.62% |
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