SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
61.46% ( -0.1) | 20.71% ( 0.04) | 17.83% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.06% ( -0.12) | 40.94% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.67% ( -0.12) | 63.33% ( 0.12) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.16% ( -0.07) | 12.84% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.81% ( -0.14) | 39.18% ( 0.13) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( -0.01) | 36.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.76% ( -0.01) | 73.23% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 61.46% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 17.83% |
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