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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Austin FC |
54.98% ( -0.05) | 22.45% ( -0.01) | 22.57% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.33% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.9% ( 0.13) | 42.1% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.5% ( 0.13) | 64.5% ( -0.12) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.77% ( 0.03) | 15.23% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.12% ( 0.05) | 43.89% ( -0.05) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.63% ( 0.13) | 32.37% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.11% ( 0.14) | 68.89% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.98% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.57% |
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