SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | -11 | 37 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | -17 | 30 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 31 | 11 | 49 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 3 | 45 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | -3 | 43 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Dallas |
50.37% ( -0.22) | 23.14% ( 0.02) | 26.48% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% ( 0.08) | 41.43% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.17% ( 0.08) | 63.82% ( -0.07) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( -0.05) | 16.59% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.61% ( -0.09) | 46.39% ( 0.09) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( 0.19) | 28.84% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( 0.23) | 64.7% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 50.37% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.43% Total : 26.48% |
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