SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Liverpool |
38.13% ( -0.56) | 28.31% ( 0.07) | 33.55% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.45% ( -0.19) | 59.55% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.11% ( -0.15) | 79.89% ( 0.14) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( -0.43) | 30.2% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.64% ( -0.51) | 66.35% ( 0.51) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( 0.23) | 33.13% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.27% ( 0.26) | 69.73% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.55% |
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