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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.37%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Liverpool |
34.17% ( 0.26) | 29.55% ( 0.16) | 36.28% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 43.31% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.31% ( -0.51) | 63.69% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.03% ( -0.37) | 82.97% ( 0.37) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( -0.09) | 34.9% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.36% ( -0.1) | 71.64% ( 0.1) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( -0.55) | 33.47% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% ( -0.6) | 70.11% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 34.16% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.54% | 0-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 7% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.28% |
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