SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Liverpool in this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Danubio |
45.52% ( -0.52) | 25.7% ( 0.22) | 28.78% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.67% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( -0.74) | 51.05% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( -0.65) | 72.91% ( 0.65) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( -0.55) | 22.39% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.1% ( -0.83) | 55.9% ( 0.82) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( -0.16) | 32.13% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.38% ( -0.18) | 68.61% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.2% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.78% |
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