SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Montevideo Wanderers | 27 | 7 | 40 |
| 9 | Danubio | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Fenix | 27 | -2 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nacional | 28 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 28 | 16 | 51 |
| 3 | Boston River | 27 | 10 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Liverpool |
22.24% ( -1.86) | 27.97% ( -0.59) | 49.8% ( 2.46) |
| Both teams to score 41.06% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.7% ( 0.53) | 63.3% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.32% ( 0.38) | 82.68% ( -0.38) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.3% ( -1.54) | 44.7% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.31% ( -1.27) | 80.69% ( 1.28) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.25% ( 1.46) | 25.76% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% ( 1.94) | 60.7% ( -1.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.24% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 15.61% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( 0.64)1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.93% Total : 49.79% |
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