SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 44.36%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 26.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 0-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
44.36% ( 0.07) | 29.01% ( 0.04) | 26.62% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 42.09% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.09% ( -0.18) | 63.9% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.88% ( -0.13) | 83.11% ( 0.13) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( -0.06) | 28.79% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( -0.06) | 64.64% ( 0.06) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.11% ( -0.21) | 40.88% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.54% ( -0.19) | 77.45% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.65% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 44.36% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.27% Total : 26.62% |
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