SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrington Town win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warrington Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Warrington Town |
30.62% ( -0.08) | 25.7% ( -0.01) | 43.68% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.82% ( 0.02) | 50.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.86% ( 0.02) | 72.14% ( -0.01) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( -0.05) | 30.36% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% ( -0.06) | 66.55% ( 0.06) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( 0.06) | 22.88% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.37% ( 0.08) | 56.63% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Warrington Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.67% |
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