SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 22.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Darlington |
54.06% ( 1.67) | 23.63% ( -0.47) | 22.31% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% ( 0.75) | 47.6% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( 0.69) | 69.8% ( -0.69) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( 0.91) | 17.52% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% ( 1.55) | 48.03% ( -1.56) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( -0.69) | 35.68% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.55% ( -0.72) | 72.45% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.66% Total : 54.05% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.31% |
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