SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 71.32%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 12.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.92%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
71.32% ( -0.41) | 15.96% ( 0.2) | 12.72% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.29% ( -0.48) | 28.71% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.38% ( -0.59) | 49.62% ( 0.59) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.87% ( -0.19) | 7.13% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.05% ( -0.51) | 25.94% ( 0.5) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( -0.05) | 35.04% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.21% ( -0.05) | 71.78% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.45% Total : 71.32% | 1-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 15.96% | 1-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 12.72% |
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