SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Platense had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Platense |
48.36% ( 0.26) | 28.46% ( 0.04) | 23.18% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 40.81% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.88% ( -0.31) | 64.12% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.73% ( -0.22) | 83.27% ( 0.22) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( -0.02) | 26.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% ( -0.02) | 62.14% ( 0.02) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.78% ( -0.47) | 44.22% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.69% ( -0.39) | 80.31% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 15.61% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 48.35% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.44% Total : 28.44% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.18% |
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