SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 42.4%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 28.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
42.4% ( 1.01) | 29.07% ( -0.05) | 28.53% ( -0.96) |
| Both teams to score 43.01% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.7% ( -0.15) | 63.29% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.32% ( -0.11) | 82.68% ( 0.11) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( 0.49) | 29.58% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% ( 0.6) | 65.61% ( -0.6) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.08% ( -0.85) | 38.91% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.35% ( -0.82) | 75.64% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.44% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.52% Total : 28.53% |
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