SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 34.99%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Independiente |
34.99% ( 0.07) | 30.08% ( 0.09) | 34.93% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 41.93% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.65% ( -0.29) | 65.34% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.86% ( -0.2) | 84.13% ( 0.2) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% ( -0.11) | 35.22% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.02% ( -0.11) | 71.97% ( 0.1) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.73% ( -0.27) | 35.26% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.98% ( -0.28) | 72.02% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 34.99% | 1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.06% | 0-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 34.92% |
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