SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
46.18% ( -0.15) | 27.65% ( -0.07) | 26.17% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 45.27% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.27% ( 0.34) | 59.73% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.97% ( 0.26) | 80.03% ( -0.26) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( 0.08) | 25.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( 0.11) | 60.87% ( -0.1) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.08% ( 0.38) | 38.92% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.35% ( 0.36) | 75.65% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.51% Total : 26.17% |
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