Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.01) 
