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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
WB

Derby
vs.
West Brom

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-1 Derby
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Derby County 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

After a heartbreaking defeat at Luton last week, Derby will be raring to produce a good display and three points in front of their Pride Park faithful. Likely under the leadership of an interim manager, the impending departure of Corberan is poised to send shockwaves around the Black Country, with an unsettled West Brom side set to struggle on Boxing Day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for West Bromwich Albion has a probability of 32.8% and a draw has a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win is 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.78%).

Result
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
40.27% (0.328 0.33) 26.93% (0.0019999999999989 0) 32.8% (-0.33 -0.33)
Both teams to score 50.64% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)54.49% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15% (-0.067 -0.07)75.85% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (0.14 0.14)26.55% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (0.186 0.19)61.75% (-0.187 -0.19)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)31.06% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (-0.306 -0.31)67.37% (0.306 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 40.27%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.8%
    Draw 26.92%
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.93% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.27%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Derby
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 4-0 Portsmouth
Friday, December 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Derby
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Derby
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Sheff Weds
Sunday, December 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Swansea
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 West Brom
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Coventry
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-2 Sheff Utd
Sunday, December 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 West Brom
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Championship


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