SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
34.18% ( 0.12) | 24.9% ( 0.01) | 40.92% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.43% ( -0.02) | 45.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% ( -0.02) | 67.9% ( 0.02) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( 0.06) | 25.82% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( 0.08) | 60.78% ( -0.08) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( -0.07) | 22.22% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( -0.1) | 55.64% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.18% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.92% |
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