SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Dungannon Swifts in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Portadown |
62.64% ( 0.04) | 20.67% ( -0.02) | 16.69% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.15% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.25% ( 0.05) | 42.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.84% ( 0.05) | 65.15% ( -0.05) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( 0.03) | 13.06% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.36% ( 0.05) | 39.64% ( -0.05) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.13% ( 0.01) | 38.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.4% ( 0.01) | 75.6% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 7.14% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 62.63% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.67% | 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.48% 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.69% |
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