SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
51.67% ( -0.65) | 25.68% ( 0.17) | 22.65% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% ( -0.21) | 55.33% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.45% ( -0.17) | 76.54% ( 0.17) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( -0.36) | 21.46% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.51% ( -0.56) | 54.48% ( 0.56) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.31% ( 0.35) | 39.69% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.63% ( 0.32) | 76.37% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.38% Total : 22.65% |
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