Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
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