Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.

Result
Eibar	Draw	Amorebieta
63.36% ( -0.24)	22.13% ( 0.21)	14.51% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 43.73% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.22% (

-0.74)

52.78% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6% (

-0.64)

74.4% (

0.64)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9% (

-0.33)

16.1% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.5% (

-0.61)

45.5% (

0.62)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.12% (

-0.4)

47.88% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.86% (

-0.3)

83.14% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Eibar 63.35%

Amorebieta 14.51%

Draw 22.12%

Eibar	Draw	Amorebieta
1-0 @ 14.07% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 63.35%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.12%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.51%