SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 70.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 12.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Ekenas IF win it was 1-0 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ekenas IF | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
12.01% ( 1.99) | 17.58% ( 1.44) | 70.41% ( -3.43) |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( 1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.15% ( -1.12) | 38.85% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.84% ( -1.19) | 61.16% ( 1.19) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( 2.82) | 43.04% ( -2.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.68% ( 2.29) | 79.32% ( -2.29) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.14% ( -1.09) | 9.86% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.29% ( -2.59) | 32.71% ( 2.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ekenas IF | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.52)2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.21)Other @ 1.31% Total : 12.01% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.66) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.43)Other @ 0.99% Total : 17.58% | 0-2 @ 11.38% ( -0.53) 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 8.79% ( -0.87)1-3 @ 7.41% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 5.09% ( -0.79)1-4 @ 4.29% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.19)0-5 @ 2.36% ( -0.5)1-5 @ 1.99% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)0-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.25)Other @ 3.81% Total : 70.4% |
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