SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Eldense win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
30.09% ( 0.46) | 28.17% ( 0.32) | 41.74% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 46.1% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.21% ( -0.95) | 59.79% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.92% ( -0.73) | 80.07% ( 0.73) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.24% ( -0.16) | 35.75% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.47% ( -0.16) | 72.53% ( 0.16) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( -0.87) | 28.24% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% ( -1.12) | 63.94% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.01% Total : 30.09% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.72% Total : 41.73% |
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