SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
34.27% ( 0.15) | 22.79% ( 0.02) | 42.94% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 65.55% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.66% ( -0.05) | 35.34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.64% ( -0.05) | 57.36% ( 0.05) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 0.06) | 20.98% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% ( 0.09) | 53.74% ( -0.09) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( -0.09) | 17.06% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.78% ( -0.15) | 47.22% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.81% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 42.94% |
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