Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.54%) and 3-1 (6.52%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
