SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 15.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
66.93% ( 0.01) | 17.93% ( -0.05) | 15.13% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.33) | 32.8% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.5% ( 0.38) | 54.49% ( -0.39) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.92% ( 0.09) | 9.07% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.15% ( 0.22) | 30.85% ( -0.23) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.42% ( 0.26) | 34.58% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.7% ( 0.27) | 71.3% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.95% Total : 66.93% | 1-1 @ 8% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.93% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 15.13% |
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