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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 0-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Willem II |
17.88% ( -0.98) | 20.32% ( -0.65) | 61.8% ( 1.62) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.99% ( 1.38) | 39% ( -1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.67% ( 1.43) | 61.33% ( -1.44) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% ( -0.24) | 35.23% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( -0.25) | 71.98% ( 0.25) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.86% ( 0.89) | 12.14% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.26% ( 1.85) | 37.74% ( -1.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.68% Total : 17.88% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.32% | 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 6.97% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 6.68% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 3.68% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.25)2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.11)1-5 @ 1.55% ( 0.15)0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.91% Total : 61.8% |
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