SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for AVS had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | AVS |
38.45% ( 0.67) | 25.28% ( 0.15) | 36.26% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( -0.73) | 46.99% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( -0.68) | 69.23% ( 0.68) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( 0.03) | 24.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( 0.04) | 58.38% ( -0.04) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( -0.79) | 25.28% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.95% ( -1.1) | 60.05% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | AVS |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.45% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.26% |
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