Buoyed by their win over Nacional, Estoril Praia will head into Saturday's clash with renewed confidence as they look to put together a fine run of form. However, Rio Ave have made the Estadio dos Arcos a tough ground for any visiting side and we predict that they will bounce back from their defeat against AVS this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.22) 
