SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
41.94% ( 0.17) | 27.06% ( 0.06) | 31% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% ( -0.29) | 55.48% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( -0.24) | 76.67% ( 0.24) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% ( -0.05) | 26.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.83% ( -0.06) | 61.17% ( 0.06) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( -0.31) | 32.81% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( -0.35) | 69.38% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.94% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 31% |
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